Tyler Shough
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 248.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 248.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 122.8–382.7 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 248.5 · facts from past games, not a pickPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 33.7 attempts + carries · 2026: 42.4 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT
Game lines
NO −3 · total 42.5 (8 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (7 games)
CLE injuries
Carson Schwesinger (LB, Questionable, 9.7 tackles); Quincy Williams (LB, Questionable, 6.4 tackles); Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (S, Questionable, 4.5 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report
Splits
Over 248.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 248.5
- Average
- 278
- +29.5 vs line
- Median
- 291
- +42.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 54%
- estimate · fair −119
Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −119, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2303 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1213 books | −1202 books | 8/10 | |
| −1183 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +1553 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 248.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 248.5 | Under 248.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −121Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −121Best | −120Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −121Best | −120Best |
Prices as of 5:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
248.5247.5 → 248.5 since first seen