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Tyler Goodson

Dallas Cowboys · RB · #32

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder29.5
Under 29.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 29.5

80%8 of 10L10

Under 29.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs TEN, 2025-10-26: 2, hit, 2 carries + targets
  2. at PIT, 2025-11-02: 8, hit, 2 carries + targets
  3. vs ATL, 2025-11-09: 4, hit, 1 carries + targets
  4. vs SF, 2025-12-22: 9, hit, 3 carries + targets
  5. at HOU, 2026-01-04: 3, hit, 1 carries + targets
  6. vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 17, hit, 7 carries + targets
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-04: 12, hit, 4 carries + targets
  8. at GB, 2026-10-18: 9, hit, 5 carries + targets
  9. at PHI, 2026-10-26: 38, missed, 10 carries + targets
  10. vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 33, missed, 9 carries + targets
Under hitMissedThe 29.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 2.1–58.5 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 29.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • New team

    5 games with DAL; before that, IND

    Under 29.5 with DAL: 3 of 5; his last 10 games before: 10 of 10

  • Defense vs running backs

    IND allow 146.3 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 5th most of 32

    8 games

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 8 carries + targets · 2026: 7 (5 games)

    Target share: 6% last 2 games · 4% over 4 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI

Splits

Under 29.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 29.5

Average
13.5
−16 vs line
Median
9
−20.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
52%
estimate · fair −109

Research, not a pick. At −115 the price is worse than our fair −109, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only8/10
−1131 book−1151 book8/10
−1131 book−1151 book8/10
Compare 1 sportsbook at 29.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 29.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 29.5Under 29.5
FanDuel1 min ago−113Best−115Best

Prices as of 12:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

29.5

26.5 → 29.5 since first seen

Tyler Goodson's full game log and splits