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Tyler Allgeier

Arizona Cardinals · RB · #22

LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder42.5
Under 42.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 42.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 42.5 Rushing Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

  1. vs NO, 2026-01-04: 16, hit, 7 carries
  2. at LAC, 2026-09-13: 61, missed, 17 carries
  3. vs SEA, 2026-09-20: 10, hit, 5 carries
  4. at SF, 2026-09-27: -1, hit, 2 carries
  5. at NYG, 2026-10-04: 42, hit, 8 carries
  6. vs DET, 2026-10-11: 7, hit, 3 carries
  7. at LAR, 2026-10-18: 38, hit, 18 carries
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-25: 19, hit, 8 carries
  9. at DAL, 2026-11-01: 147, missed, 11 carries
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-08: 46, missed, 17 carries
Under hitMissedThe 42.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–102.4 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 42.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Jacoby Brissett led ARI in passing in 7 of 9 games this season

    Also led: Gardner Minshew II 2 (Injured Reserve, elbow, led the last game). Under 42.5 with Brissett at quarterback: 6 of 7; with another ARI quarterback: 0 of 2

  • New team

    9 games with ARI; before that, ATL

    Under 42.5 with ARI: 6 of 9; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10

  • Defense vs running backs

    LAR allow 77.0 rushing yards a game to running backs: 24th most of 32

    9 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 12 carries · 2026: 9.9 (9 games)

Splits

Under 42.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAR

Rushing Yards: 38 in 18 carries, Oct 18 (away)

Under 42.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against LAR on record

L10 · Under 42.5

Average
38.5
−4 vs line
Median
28.5
−14 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
52%
estimate · fair −109

Research, not a pick. At −114 the price is worse than our fair −109, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4701 book—5/10
−3001 book—5/10
−1441 book—6/10
−1141 book−1141 book7/10
pick'em onlypick'em only7/10
+1341 book—8/10
+2251 book—8/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 42.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 42.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 42.5Under 42.5
FanDuel10 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

42.5

No move since first seen

Tyler Allgeier's full game log and splits