Troy Franklin
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs wide receivers
CAR allow 144.4 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 1.6 (7 games)
Target share: 6% last 3 games · 5% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)
Game log against Over 9.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 9.5 · L10Last vs CAR
Receiving Yards: 6 in 2 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)
Over 9.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 15.2
- +5.7 vs line
- Median
- 9.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.1
- 10 games · 6.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2201 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 5/10 | |
| +1461 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +2201 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3201 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +4301 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +7501 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5No move since first seen