Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

GameSearch teams, players, games/

Treylon BurksQuestionable

Washington Commanders · WR · #13

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Under 2.5 Receptions, typical price −1546 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 2.5

80%8 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Receptions hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

  1. at NYG, 2025-12-14: 0, hit, 2 targets
  2. vs PHI, 2025-12-20: 2, hit, 5 targets
  3. vs DAL, 2025-12-25: 1, hit, 2 targets
  4. at PHI, 2026-01-04: 2, hit, 4 targets
  5. at DAL, 2026-09-20: 0, hit, 1 targets
  6. vs SEA, 2026-09-27: 2, hit, 2 targets
  7. vs IND, 2026-10-04: 1, hit, 3 targets
  8. vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 2, hit, 5 targets
  9. at SF, 2026-10-19: 4, missed, 6 targets
  10. vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 5 targets
Under hitMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunDefense vs wide receivers

    LAR allow 8.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: the fewest of 32

    8 games

  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 3.7 (6 games) · up 43%

    Target share: 17% last 3 games · 11% over 6 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Jayden Daniels led WSH in passing in 5 of 7 games this season

    Also led: Athan Kaliakmanis 1; Marcus Mariota 1. Under 2.5 with Daniels at quarterback: 4 of 6; with another WSH quarterback: 7 of 8

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs PHI

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 2.5

Average
1.7
−0.8 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −154
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
55%
estimate · fair −123

Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −123, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−20003 books—2/10
−2754 books—4/10
+1166 books−1544 books8/10
+3104 books—9/10
+7504 books—10/10
+12001 book—10/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Bovada4 min ago+110−145Best
Pinnacle5 min ago+113−150
FanDuel2 min ago+116−154
betPARX2 min ago+120Best−159
Bally Bet5 min ago+120Best—
BetRivers2 min ago+120Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −180 → −154 since first seen

Treylon Burks's full game log and splits