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Trey McBride

Arizona Cardinals · TE · #85

LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder59.5
Over 59.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 59.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 59.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

  1. at LAR, 2026-01-04: 65, cleared, 8 targets
  2. at LAC, 2026-09-13: 95, cleared, 13 targets
  3. vs SEA, 2026-09-20: 41, missed, 10 targets
  4. at SF, 2026-09-27: 75, cleared, 11 targets
  5. at NYG, 2026-10-04: 31, missed, 12 targets
  6. vs DET, 2026-10-11: 66, cleared, 10 targets
  7. at LAR, 2026-10-18: 53, missed, 9 targets
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-25: 111, cleared, 13 targets
  9. at DAL, 2026-11-01: 72, cleared, 8 targets
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-08: 54, missed, 8 targets
ClearedMissedThe 59.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 27.7–92.7 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 59.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Jacoby Brissett led ARI in passing in 7 of 9 games this season

    Also led: Gardner Minshew II 2 (Injured Reserve, elbow, led the last game). Over 59.5 with Brissett at quarterback: 13 of 19; with another ARI quarterback: 17 of 31

  • Defense vs tight ends

    LAR allow 47.4 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32

    9 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 9.7 targets · 2026: 10.4 (9 games)

    Target share: 23% last 3 games · 26% over 9 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at SEA

Splits

Over 59.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAR

Receiving Yards: 53 in 9 targets, Oct 18 (away)

Over 59.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against LAR on record

L10 · Over 59.5

Average
66.3
+6.8 vs line
Median
65.5
+6 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
51%
estimate · fair −105

Research, not a pick. At −114 the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−9001 book—10/10
−3801 book—9/10
−2001 book—8/10
−1141 book−1141 book6/10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
+1441 book—4/10
+2201 book—2/10
Compare 1 sportsbook at 59.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 59.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 59.5Under 59.5
FanDuel9 min ago−114Best−114Best

Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

59.5

No move since first seen

Trey McBride's full game log and splits