Trevor Lawrence
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Defense vs quarterbacks
BAL allow 1.38 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 17th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31.3 attempts · 2026: 28.3 (7 games)
Game lines
JAX −9.5 · total 42 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 on the road).
Count only
Over 1.5 · L10Last vs BAL
Passing TDs: 1 in 43 attempts, Dec 17, 2023 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against BAL on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −137
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 29.5
- 10 games · 32.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 55%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1376 books | +1055 books | 7/10 | |
| +2854 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +10004 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −135Best | +105 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −137 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −137 | +105 |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −137 | +104 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −144 | +108 |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −158 | +118Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over −140 → −137 since first seen