Tre Tucker

Las Vegas Raiders · WR · #1

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Receptions, typical price +1076 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs KC, 2026-01-04: 2, missed, 6 targets
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 2, missed, 4 targets
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 5, cleared, 7 targets
at NO, 2026-09-27: 4, cleared, 4 targets
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 4, cleared, 8 targets
at NE, 2026-10-11: 4, cleared, 5 targets
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 5, cleared, 7 targets
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 12 targets
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 1 targets
at SF, 2026-11-08: 4, cleared, 8 targets

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs wide receivers
SEA allow 9.4 receptions a game to wide receivers: 30th most of 32
9 games
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 2.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 7 of 9; with another LV quarterback: 19 of 41
Targets
Last 3: 7 targets · 2026: 6.2 (9 games)
Target share: 20% last 3 games · 17% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at SF

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.5; +1 vs line
Median: 4; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +107
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −141

Research, not a pick. At +110 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −141, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−25004 books	—	9/10
−2954 books	—	9/10
+1076 books	−1424 books	7/10
+2654 books	—	7/10
+6004 books	—	3/10
+11001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel7 min ago	+110Best	−146
Bally Bet8 min ago	+108	—
betPARX8 min ago	+108	−139
Pinnacle8 min ago	+107	−142
BetRivers8 min ago	+106	—
Bovada8 min ago	+105	−135Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+110 → +107 since first seen