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Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs · TE · #87

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +1751 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 0.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 14 of 52; with another KC quarterback: 0 of 3

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 6.7 carries + targets · 2026: 6 (7 games)

    Target share: 19% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

  • Game lines

    KC −10 · total 46 (5 sportsbooks)

    KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 0.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. at TEN, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  2. vs DEN, 2025-12-25: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
  3. at LV, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
  4. vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  5. vs IND, 2026-09-20: 1, cleared, 11 carries + targets
  6. at MIA, 2026-09-27: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
  7. at LV, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  8. vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  9. at SEA, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  10. at DEN, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
36%
at +175
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
5.8
10 games · 6.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1751 bookpick'em only2/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bovada4 min ago+175Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Travis Kelce's full game log and splits