Tetairoa McMillan
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 5.5 with Young at quarterback: 7 of 24; with another CAR quarterback: 1 of 1
Defense vs wide receivers
DEN allow 10.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 8.7 targets · 2026: 9.3 (7 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 24% over 7 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game log against Over 5.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 5.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 5
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +105
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 8.2
- 10 games · 7.2 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −5004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2004 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1055 books | −1353 books | 3/10 | |
| +2054 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +3904 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +7504 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet1 min ago | +106Best | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +106Best | −137 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +105 | — |
| Bovada1 min ago | +105 | −135 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −102 | −130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5−102 → +105 since first seen