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Tetairoa McMillan

Carolina Panthers · WR · #4

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder63.5
Over 63.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 63.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 63.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 5, missed, 4 targets
  2. at TB, 2026-01-03: 85, cleared, 6 targets
  3. vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 81, cleared, 7 targets
  4. vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 75, cleared, 8 targets
  5. at ATL, 2026-09-20: 101, cleared, 10 targets
  6. at CLE, 2026-09-27: 17, missed, 5 targets
  7. vs DET, 2026-10-04: 192, cleared, 16 targets
  8. at PHI, 2026-10-18: 86, cleared, 9 targets
  9. vs TB, 2026-10-25: 40, missed, 6 targets
  10. at GB, 2026-10-29: 58, missed, 11 targets
ClearedMissedThe 63.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–140 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 63.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 63.5 with Young at quarterback: 11 of 24; with another CAR quarterback: 1 of 1

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    DEN allow 130.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 24th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 8.7 targets · 2026: 9.3 (7 games)

    Target share: 23% last 3 games · 24% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

Splits

Over 63.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 63.5

Average
74
+10.5 vs line
Median
78
+14.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
52%
estimate · fair −107

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −107, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2304 books—7/10
−1374 books—6/10
−1152 books−1152 books6/10
−1154 books−1143 books6/10
−1011 book−1321 book6/10
+1124 books—6/10
+1634 books—5/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 63.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 63.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 63.5Under 63.5
Bally Bet2 min ago−115Best—
betPARX3 min ago−115Best−113Best
Bovada2 min ago−115Best−115
BetRivers3 min ago−117−114
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

63.5

66.5 → 63.5 since first seen

Tetairoa McMillan's full game log and splits