Saquon BarkleyQuestionable

Philadelphia Eagles · RB · #26

NYG @ PHI · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under58.5

Under 58.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1174 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Under 58.5 Rushing Yards hit in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs LV, 2025-12-14: 78, missed, 22 carries
at WSH, 2025-12-20: 132, missed, 21 carries
at BUF, 2025-12-28: 68, missed, 19 carries
vs SF, 2026-01-11: 106, missed, 26 carries
vs WSH, 2026-09-13: 83, missed, 15 carries
at TEN, 2026-09-20: 9, hit, 4 carries
at CHI, 2026-09-28: 82, missed, 15 carries
vs LAR, 2026-10-04: 8, hit, 2 carries
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 62, missed, 7 carries
at WSH, 2026-11-01: 30, hit, 13 carries

Under hitMissedThe 58.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1.4–90.1 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 58.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Jalen Hurts led PHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tanner McKee 3 (Questionable, ribs, led the last game). Under 58.5 with Hurts at quarterback: 11 of 39; with another PHI quarterback: 1 of 4
Defense vs running backs
NYG allow 101.6 rushing yards a game to running backs: 13th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 7.3 carries · 2026: 9.3 (6 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at WSH

Splits

Under 58.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYG in his last 10; Under 58.5 hit in 1 of 3 against NYG on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYG

Rushing Yards: 150 in 14 carries, Oct 26, 2025 (home)

Under 58.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against NYG on record

L10 · Under 58.5

Average: 65.8; +7.3 vs line
Median: 73; +14.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −121

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −121, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4004 books	—	3/10
−1904 books	—	3/10
−1201 book	−1101 book	3/10
−1134 books	−1173 books	3/10
−1064 books	—	3/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	3/10
+1604 books	—	5/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 58.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 58.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 58.5	Under 58.5
Pinnacle7 min ago	−115	−115Best
betPARX4 min ago	−112Best	−117
BetRivers3 min ago	−113	−118
Bally Bet7 min ago	−112Best	—

Prices as of 7:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

58.5

62.5 → 58.5 since first seen