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Sam LaPorta

Detroit Lions · TE · #87

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +1702 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunCarries + targets

    Last 3: 4.3 carries + targets · 2026: 6.4 (7 games) · down 33%

    Target share: 14% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN

  • Game lines

    DET −7 · total 50.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)

  • DET injuries

    Isiah Pacheco (RB, Injured Reserve, 11.4 carries + targets)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Game log against Over 0.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs TB, 2025-10-20: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
  2. vs MIN, 2025-11-02: 1, cleared, 8 carries + targets
  3. at WSH, 2025-11-09: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  5. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 1, cleared, 7 carries + targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  7. at CAR, 2026-10-04: 1, cleared, 13 carries + targets
  8. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
  9. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  10. vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
37%
at +170
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
6.1
10 games · 5.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1702 bookspick'em only4/10
+14001 book—0/10
+100001 book—0/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bovada7 min ago+190Best—
FanDuel7 min ago+170—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Sam LaPorta's full game log and splits