Sam LaPorta
NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
Game log against Over 43.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 43.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunTargets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 6.1 (8 games) · down 34%
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 18% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Jared Goff: Questionable (chest). He led DET in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 43.5 with Goff at quarterback: 26 of 46; with another DET quarterback: no games
Defense vs tight ends
NE allow 46.7 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 24th most of 32
9 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at MIA
Splits
Over 43.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 43.5
- Average
- 54.9
- +11.4 vs line
- Median
- 50
- +6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.2
- 10 games · 5.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 43.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2754 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1484 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1143 books | 7/10 | |
| −1213 books | −1202 books | 7/10 | |
| +1104 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2101 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3201 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 43.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 43.5 | Under 43.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet15 min ago | −121Best | — |
| betPARX15 min ago | −121Best | −120Best |
| BetRivers15 min ago | −121Best | −120Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
43.5−114 → −121 since first seen