Sam LaPorta
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 43.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 43.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunTargets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 6.3 (7 games) · down 37%
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Defense vs tight ends
MIA allow 69.0 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 5th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN
Game lines
DET −7 · total 50.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 43.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 43.5
- Average
- 53.2
- +9.7 vs line
- Median
- 50
- +6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6
- 10 games · 5.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 43.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1304 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1153 books | 7/10 | |
| +1384 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2304 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3704 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 43.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 43.5 | Under 43.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel9 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada9 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Pinnacle10 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
43.541.5 → 43.5 since first seen