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Ryan Flournoy

Dallas Cowboys · WR · #19

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Under 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1546 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 3.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Receptions hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs LAC, 2025-12-21: 2, hit, 2 targets
  2. at NYG, 2026-01-04: 5, missed, 7 targets
  3. at NYG, 2026-09-13: 2, hit, 4 targets
  4. vs WSH, 2026-09-20: 5, missed, 6 targets
  5. vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 2, hit, 8 targets
  6. at HOU, 2026-10-04: 4, missed, 5 targets
  7. vs TB, 2026-10-08: 3, hit, 4 targets
  8. at GB, 2026-10-18: 7, missed, 9 targets
  9. at PHI, 2026-10-26: 4, missed, 4 targets
  10. vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 3, hit, 4 targets
Under hitMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunDefense vs wide receivers

    IND allow 9.4 receptions a game to wide receivers: 30th most of 32

    8 games

  • Quarterback

    Dak Prescott led DAL in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Under 3.5 with Prescott at quarterback: 14 of 21; with another DAL quarterback: 6 of 7

  • Targets

    Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 5.5 (8 games)

    Target share: 16% last 3 games · 15% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 3.5

Average
3.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
3.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −154
Books’ fair
54%
margin removed
Our chance
52%
estimate · fair −110

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −110, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−7704 books—0/10
−2254 books—3/10
+1076 books−1544 books5/10
+2254 books—7/10
+4204 books—9/10
+7504 books—9/10
+12801 book—10/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bovada3 min ago−105−125Best
FanDuel2 min ago−102−130
Pinnacle3 min ago+116Best−154
betPARX3 min ago+107−155
Bally Bet3 min ago+107—
BetRivers3 min ago+107—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−166 → −154 since first seen

Ryan Flournoy's full game log and splits