Ryan Flournoy
DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMGame log against Over 34.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 34.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 11.5–74.9 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 34.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Dak Prescott led DAL in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 34.5 with Prescott at quarterback: 8 of 21; with another DAL quarterback: 2 of 7
Defense vs wide receivers
IND allow 130.4 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 23rd most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 5.5 (8 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 15% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Splits
Over 34.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 34.5
- Average
- 42.8
- +8.3 vs line
- Median
- 37.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −137
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3601 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2451 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1624 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1204 books | −1213 books | 6/10 | |
| −1262 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1104 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 34.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 34.5 | Under 34.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −120Best | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −120Best | −121 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −120Best | −121 |
| Bovada8 min ago | −120Best | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:03 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
34.531.5 → 34.5 since first seen


