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Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears · WR · #15

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
OverUnder3.5
Under 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1666 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Under 3.5 with Williams at quarterback: 22 of 36; with another CHI quarterback: 2 of 3

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    TB allow 10.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 5.5 (8 games)

    Target share: 15% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Game log against Under 3.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Receptions hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

  1. vs GB, 2026-01-10: 2, hit, 6 targets
  2. vs LAR, 2026-01-18: 2, hit, 6 targets
  3. at CAR, 2026-09-13: 2, hit, 3 targets
  4. vs MIN, 2026-09-20: 3, hit, 4 targets
  5. vs PHI, 2026-09-28: 3, hit, 6 targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 6, missed, 7 targets
  7. at GB, 2026-10-11: 3, hit, 9 targets
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-18: 3, hit, 4 targets
  9. vs NE, 2026-10-22: 4, missed, 5 targets
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 6 targets
Under hitMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 receptions.

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 3.5

Average
3.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
62%
at −166
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
55%
estimate · fair −123

Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −123, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−10004 books—0/10
−2454 books—3/10
+1126 books−1664 books7/10
+2554 books—9/10
+5754 books—9/10
+13004 books—10/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bovada1 min ago+100−130Best
betPARX1 min ago+112−148
FanDueljust now+124Best−166
Pinnacle1 min ago+124Best−166
Bally Bet1 min ago+112—
BetRivers1 min ago+112—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 12:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under −157 → −166 since first seen

Rome Odunze's full game log and splits