Rome Odunze
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 3.5 with Williams at quarterback: 14 of 36; with another CHI quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs wide receivers
TB allow 10.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 5.5 (8 games)
Target share: 15% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game log against Over 3.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 47%
- at +114
- Books’ fair
- 44%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 5.6
- 10 games · 7.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 44%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9104 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2404 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +1145 books | −1503 books | 3/10 | |
| +2604 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +5754 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +10001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | +124Best | −166 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +114 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | +114 | −150 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +114 | — |
| Bovada5 min ago | +105 | −135Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:48 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over +124 → +114 since first seen