Rico Dowdle

Pittsburgh Steelers · RB · #13

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1073 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at NO, 2025-12-14: 16, cleared, 16 carries
vs TB, 2025-12-21: 9, cleared, 9 carries
vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 12, cleared, 12 carries
at TB, 2026-01-03: 7, missed, 7 carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 5, missed, 5 carries
vs ATL, 2026-09-13: 8, cleared, 8 carries
at NE, 2026-09-20: 7, missed, 7 carries
at TB, 2026-10-18: 7, missed, 7 carries
at NO, 2026-10-25: 9, cleared, 9 carries
vs CLE, 2026-11-01: 15, cleared, 15 carries

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 2.5–20.8 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
5 games with PIT; before that, CAR
Over 7.5 with PIT: 3 of 5; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Back from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 27 – Oct 11)
Over 7.5 since: 2 of 3
Defense vs running backs
CIN allow 19.8 carries a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 10.3 carries · 2026: 9.2 (5 games)

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CIN in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CIN

Dowdle didn't play the Sep 27 meeting; rushing attempts the last time Dowdle faced them: 18 (Dec 9, 2024)

Over 7.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CIN on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average: 9.5; +2 vs line
Median: 8.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −107
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3603 books	—	9/10
−1073 books	−1221 book	6/10
+2503 books	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
Bally Bet14 min ago	−107Best	—
betPARX14 min ago	−107Best	−122Best
BetRivers14 min ago	−107Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Over: −122 → −107 since first seen