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Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots · RB · #38

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder13.5
Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1083 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 13.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at DEN, 2026-01-25: 25, missed, 25 carries
  2. vs SEA, 2026-02-08: 7, hit, 7 carries
  3. at SEA, 2026-09-09: 18, missed, 18 carries
  4. vs PIT, 2026-09-20: 6, hit, 6 carries
  5. at JAX, 2026-09-27: 7, hit, 7 carries
  6. at BUF, 2026-10-04: 13, hit, 13 carries
  7. vs LV, 2026-10-11: 13, hit, 13 carries
  8. vs NYJ, 2026-10-18: 14, missed, 14 carries
  9. at CHI, 2026-10-22: 6, hit, 6 carries
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-01: 19, missed, 19 carries
Under hitMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 5–18.3 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Drake Maye led NE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Under 13.5 with Maye at quarterback: 25 of 35; with another NE quarterback: 4 of 9

  • Defense vs running backs

    GB allow 23.6 carries a game to running backs: 12th most of 32

    8 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 13 carries · 2026: 12 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA

Splits

Under 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 13.5

Average
12.8
−0.7 vs line
Median
13
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
52%
at −108
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −126

Research, not a pick. At −108 the price beats our fair −126, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2863 books—4/10
−1213 books−1081 book6/10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
+1141 book−1521 book7/10
+1803 books—7/10
+3703 books—7/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 13.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 13.5Under 13.5
betPARX3 min ago−121Best−108Best
Bally Bet8 min ago−121Best—
BetRivers2 min ago−122—

Prices as of 3:35 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

14.5 → 13.5 since first seen

Rhamondre Stevenson's full game log and splits