Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

GameSearch teams, players, games/

Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots · RB · #38

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder82.5
Under 82.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1131 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 82.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 82.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at DEN, 2026-01-25: 71, hit, 27 carries + targets
  2. vs SEA, 2026-02-08: 63, hit, 12 carries + targets
  3. at SEA, 2026-09-09: 95, missed, 24 carries + targets
  4. vs PIT, 2026-09-20: 46, hit, 8 carries + targets
  5. at JAX, 2026-09-27: 38, hit, 10 carries + targets
  6. at BUF, 2026-10-04: 74, hit, 18 carries + targets
  7. vs LV, 2026-10-11: 85, missed, 16 carries + targets
  8. vs NYJ, 2026-10-18: 36, hit, 14 carries + targets
  9. at CHI, 2026-10-22: 115, missed, 11 carries + targets
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-01: 90, missed, 22 carries + targets
Under hitMissedThe 82.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 28.9–104 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 82.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Drake Maye led NE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Under 82.5 with Maye at quarterback: 23 of 35; with another NE quarterback: 4 of 9

  • Defense vs running backs

    GB allow 127.1 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 16th most of 32

    8 games

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 15.7 carries + targets · 2026: 15.4 (8 games)

    Target share: 16% last 2 games · 13% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA

Splits

Under 82.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 82.5

Average
71.3
−11.2 vs line
Median
72.5
−10 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −125

Research, not a pick. At −113 the price beats our fair −125, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1131 book6/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 82.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 82.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 82.5Under 82.5
FanDuel10 min ago−115Best−113Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

82.5

−114 → −113 since first seen

Rhamondre Stevenson's full game log and splits