Rachaad White

Washington Commanders · RB · #1

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under40.5

Under 40.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 40.5 Rushing Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs ATL, 2025-12-11: 20, hit, 1 carries
at CAR, 2025-12-21: 45, missed, 5 carries
at MIA, 2025-12-28: 10, hit, 2 carries
vs CAR, 2026-01-03: 23, hit, 7 carries
at PHI, 2026-09-13: 22, hit, 7 carries
at DAL, 2026-09-20: 43, missed, 7 carries
vs SEA, 2026-09-27: 35, hit, 8 carries
vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 18, hit, 7 carries
at SF, 2026-10-19: 27, hit, 7 carries
vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 55, missed, 11 carries

Under hitMissedThe 40.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 10.9–67.3 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 40.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Jayden Daniels led WSH in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Athan Kaliakmanis 1; Marcus Mariota 1. Under 40.5 with Daniels at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another WSH quarterback: 1 of 1
New team
6 games with WSH; before that, TB
Under 40.5 with WSH: 4 of 6; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs running backs
LAR allow 81.1 rushing yards a game to running backs: 23rd most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 8.3 carries · 2026: 7.8 (6 games)

Splits

Under 40.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAR in his last 10; Under 40.5 hit in 1 of 1 against LAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAR

Rushing Yards: 38 in 7 carries, Nov 23, 2025 (away)

Under 40.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against LAR on record

L10 · Under 40.5

Average: 29.8; −10.7 vs line
Median: 25; −15.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −117

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −117, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4201 book	—	5/10
−3054 books	—	6/10
−1244 books	—	7/10
−1155 books	−1144 books	7/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	7/10
+1604 books	—	9/10
+2954 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 40.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 40.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 40.5	Under 40.5
betPARX8 min ago	−115	−113Best
BetRivers8 min ago	−117	−114
FanDuel8 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle8 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet8 min ago	−115	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:27 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

40.5

Under: No move since first seen