Quinshon Judkins

Cleveland Browns · RB · #10

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1324 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

vs TEN, 2025-12-07: 14, hit, 14 carries
at CHI, 2025-12-14: 12, hit, 12 carries
vs BUF, 2025-12-21: 8, hit, 8 carries
at JAX, 2026-09-13: 12, hit, 12 carries
at TB, 2026-09-20: 12, hit, 12 carries
vs CAR, 2026-09-27: 18, missed, 18 carries
vs PIT, 2026-10-01: 17, missed, 17 carries
at NYJ, 2026-10-11: 14, hit, 14 carries
at TEN, 2026-10-25: 17, missed, 17 carries
at PIT, 2026-11-01: 11, hit, 11 carries

Under hitMissedThe 16.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 7.6–17.8 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Deshaun Watson: Questionable (concussion). He led CLE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 16.5 with Watson at quarterback: 4 of 7; with another CLE quarterback: 7 of 14
Defense vs running backs
NO allow 24.6 carries a game to running backs: 6th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 14 carries · 2026: 14.4 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT
3rd straight road game

Splits

Under 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 16.5

Average: 13.5; −3 vs line
Median: 13; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −157, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6253 books	—	2/10
−2863 books	—	5/10
−1483 books	—	7/10
−1094 books	−1322 books	7/10
+1203 books	—	9/10
+2003 books	—	10/10
+3303 books	—	10/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	−114	−114Best
betPARX6 min ago	−109Best	−132
Bally Bet5 min ago	−109Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−109Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

17.5 → 16.5 since first seen