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Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs · QB · #15

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder12.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    NYJ allow 16.5 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 14th most of 32

    8 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 3 carries · 2026: 3 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

  • Game lines

    KC −10 · total 46.5 (5 sportsbooks)

    KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 12.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-11-27: 30, cleared, 3 carries
  2. vs HOU, 2025-12-07: 59, cleared, 7 carries
  3. vs LAC, 2025-12-14: 15, cleared, 2 carries
  4. vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 23, cleared, 7 carries
  5. vs IND, 2026-09-20: 17, cleared, 2 carries
  6. at MIA, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 1 carries
  7. at LV, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 2 carries
  8. vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 16, cleared, 5 carries
  9. at SEA, 2026-10-25: 14, cleared, 2 carries
  10. at DEN, 2026-11-01: 6, missed, 2 carries
ClearedMissedThe 12.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 12.5

Average
18.1
+5.6 vs line
Median
15.5
+3 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries
3.3
10 games · 4.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only7/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 12.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 12.5Under 12.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

9.5 → 12.5 since we started recording it

Patrick Mahomes's full game log and splits