Patrick Mahomes
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 11.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
NYJ allow 16.5 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 14th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 3 carries · 2026: 3 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN
Game lines
KC −10 · total 47 (7 sportsbooks)
KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 18.1
- +6.6 vs line
- Median
- 15.5
- +4 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 3.3
- 10 games · 4.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3501 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1214 books | −1102 books | 7/10 | |
| −1202 books | −1142 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| +1301 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +2204 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3501 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel11 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Bovada11 min ago | −120 | −110Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5−114 → −120 since first seen