Omarion Hampton
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PMWhat's different on Sunday
Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs running backs
HOU allow 90.7 rushing yards a game to running backs: 18th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 10 carries · 2026: 12.7 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR
Game lines
LAC +4 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 28.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 28.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 10.8–77.1 rushing yards.
Splits
Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs HOU
Rushing Yards: 29 in 14 carries, Dec 27, 2025 (home)
Over 28.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against HOU on record
L10 · Over 28.5
- Average
- 42.2
- +13.7 vs line
- Median
- 38
- +9.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2701 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1601 book | — | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1143 books | 7/10 | |
| −1061 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +1881 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +3201 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 28.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 28.5 | Under 28.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel11 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle12 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada11 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
28.527.5 → 28.5 since first seen


