Omarion Hampton
LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PMGame log against Over 10.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 10.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 5.1–17.9 rushing attempts.
What's different on Monday
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Justin Herbert: Questionable (finger). He led LAC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 10.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 13 of 18; with another LAC quarterback: no games
Defense vs running backs
BAL allow 22.7 carries a game to running backs: 16th most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 9.7 carries · 2026: 12.8 (8 games)
Rest
7 days off since Nov 8 vs HOU
Splits
Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 10.5
- Average
- 11.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 12.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −124
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 55%
- estimate · fair −124
Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −124, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6703 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2053 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1243 books | −1051 book | 6/10 | |
| +1283 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +2853 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −124Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −124Best | −105Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −125 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.5Over: No move since first seen


