Omarion Hampton
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
Game log against Over 42.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 42.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 14–88.1 rush+rec yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 42.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs running backs
HOU allow 111.6 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 26th most of 32
7 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 12.7 carries + targets · 2026: 14.6 (7 games)
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 7% over 6 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR
Game lines
LAC +5.5 · total 40.5 (9 sportsbooks)
LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 42.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs HOU
Rush+Rec Yards: 60 in 22 carries + targets, Dec 27, 2025 (home)
Over 42.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against HOU on record
L10 · Over 42.5
- Average
- 52.6
- +10.1 vs line
- Median
- 48
- +5.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 54%
- estimate · fair −118
Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −118, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3053 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1483 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1223 books | −1182 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 5/10 | |
| +1233 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 42.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 42.5 | Under 42.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −122Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −122Best | −118Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −122Best | −118Best |
Prices as of 2:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
42.538.5 → 42.5 since first seen