Ollie Gordon II

Miami Dolphins · RB · #0

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under70.5

Under 70.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1156 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 70.5 Rushing Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at NYJ, 2025-12-07: 17, hit, 5 carries
at PIT, 2025-12-15: 0, hit, 2 carries
vs CIN, 2025-12-21: -1, hit, 1 carries
at NE, 2026-01-04: 9, hit, 9 carries
at SF, 2026-09-20: 7, hit, 3 carries
vs KC, 2026-09-27: 41, hit, 17 carries
at MIN, 2026-10-04: 100, missed, 9 carries
vs CIN, 2026-10-11: 88, missed, 18 carries
at NYJ, 2026-10-25: 103, missed, 25 carries
vs NE, 2026-11-01: 69, hit, 19 carries

Under hitMissedThe 70.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 2–112 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 70.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunCarries
Last 3: 20.7 carries · 2026: 15.2 (6 games) · up 36%
Quarterback
Malik Willis led MIA in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 70.5 with Willis at quarterback: 3 of 6; with another MIA quarterback: 16 of 16
Defense vs running backs
DET allow 74.9 rushing yards a game to running backs: 26th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs NE

Splits

Under 70.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 70.5

Average: 43.3; −27.2 vs line
Median: 29; −41.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −121

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −121, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4204 books	—	6/10
−2104 books	—	6/10
−1184 books	—	7/10
−1146 books	−1155 books	7/10
+1384 books	—	7/10
+2154 books	—	8/10
+3354 books	—	8/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 70.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 70.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 70.5	Under 70.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−114	−114Best
betPARX3 min ago	−113	−115
Bovada4 min ago	−115	−115
BetRivers3 min ago	−114	−117
Pinnacle4 min ago	−108Best	−122
Bally Bet4 min ago	−113	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

70.5

74.5 → 70.5 since first seen