Noah Gray

Kansas City Chiefs · TE · #83

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +5505 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs DEN, 2025-12-25: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
at LV, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
at LV, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
vs NYJ, 2026-11-08: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 0.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 5 of 46; with another KC quarterback: 0 of 4
Carries + targets
Last 3: 2 carries + targets · 2026: 2.1 (8 games)
Target share: 6% last 3 games · 7% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs NYJ
Game lines
KC −3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
KC's games this season closed at 44.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ATL

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 2 carries + targets, Sep 22, 2024 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 15%; at +550
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 2.3; 10 games · 2.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+5505 books	pick'em only	1/10
	+66005 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada11 min ago	+825Best	—
FanDuel11 min ago	+700	—
Bally Bet11 min ago	+550	—
betPARX11 min ago	+550	—
BetRivers11 min ago	+550	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:02 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +700 → +550 since first seen