Noah Gray
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Patrick Mahomes led KC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 1.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 28 of 45; with another KC quarterback: 1 of 4
Defense vs tight ends
NYJ allow 5.5 receptions a game to tight ends: 14th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.3 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 46%
- at +116
- Books’ fair
- 43%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.5
- 10 games · 2.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 43%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4354 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +1166 books | −1554 books | 6/10 | |
| +3604 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +10504 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | +118Best | −158 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +117 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | +117 | −152 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +116 | — |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +116 | −155 |
| Bovada5 min ago | +115 | −150Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5+124 → +116 since first seen