Nico Collins

Houston Texans · WR · #12

HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +1505 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs ARI, 2025-12-14: 2, cleared, 4 carries + targets
vs LV, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
at LAC, 2025-12-27: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 11 carries + targets
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 8 carries + targets
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
at LAC, 2026-11-08: 1, cleared, 4 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 0.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 18 of 39; with another HOU quarterback: 3 of 6
Carries + targets
Last 3: 5 carries + targets · 2026: 6.8 (6 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 19% over 6 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at LAC
Game lines
HOU −5 · total 41.5 (6 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.1 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CLE

Total Touchdowns: 1 in 8 carries + targets, Jan 13, 2024 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 40%; at +150
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 6.5; 10 games · 8.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1505 books	pick'em only	4/10
+12005 books	—	2/10
+66004 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada14 min ago	+170Best	—
FanDuel14 min ago	+170Best	—
Bally Bet14 min ago	+150	—
betPARX14 min ago	+150	—
BetRivers14 min ago	+150	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +145 → +150 since first seen