Nico Collins
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 0.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 18 of 39; with another HOU quarterback: 3 of 6
Carries + targets
Last 3: 6 carries + targets · 2026: 7.4 (5 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 21% over 5 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −4 · total 40.5 (6 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 0.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs LAC
Total Touchdowns: 0 in 4 carries + targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 40%
- at +147
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 6.9
- 10 games · 8.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1472 books | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +11482 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +100001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel8 min ago | +150Best | — |
| Bovada8 min ago | +145 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +120 → +147 since first seen