Nico Collins
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
What's different tonight
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 5.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 15 of 39; with another HOU quarterback: 3 of 6
Defense vs wide receivers
LAC allow 10.7 receptions a game to wide receivers: 18th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 7 (5 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 21% over 5 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game log against Over 5.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs LAC
Receptions: 3 in 4 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)
Over 5.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 4.1
- −1.4 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 45%
- at +120
- Books’ fair
- 42%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.7
- 10 games · 7.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 42%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −4001 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1721 book | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +1202 books | −1602 books | 2/10 | |
| +2251 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +4001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +6801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada2 min ago | +120Best | −160Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +120Best | −160Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No move since first seen