Mike Washington Jr.
SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PMGame log against Over 26.5
56%5 of 9L9
Over 26.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 9 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0.5–71.1 rushing yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 26.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunDefense vs running backs
SEA allow 69.9 rushing yards a game to running backs: 30th most of 32
9 games
SunCarries
Last 3: 12.3 carries · 2026: 7.9 (9 games) · up 56%
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at SF
Game lines
LV +6.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LV's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (9 games)
Splits
Over 26.5 · L9 · counts, not in orderNo game against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L9 · Over 26.5
- Average
- 30.6
- +4.1 vs line
- Median
- 27
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 56%
- 5 of 9
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 55%
- estimate · fair −122
Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −122, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L9| Line | Over | Under | L9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3201 book | — | 6/9 | |
| −2304 books | — | 5/9 | |
| −1361 book | — | 5/9 | |
| −1146 books | −1155 books | 5/9 | |
| +1144 books | — | 4/9 | |
| +2304 books | — | 4/9 | |
| +4404 books | — | 2/9 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 26.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 26.5 | Under 26.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −113Best | −117 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −114 | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| FanDuel7 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Bovada7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
26.524.5 → 26.5 since first seen


