Mike Gesicki
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
What's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 2.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 17 of 29; with another CIN quarterback: 2 of 5
Defense vs tight ends
ATL allow 5.9 receptions a game to tight ends: 11th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 4 (6 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 10% over 6 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN
Game log against Over 2.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 3.4
- 10 games · 3.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4004 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1325 books | −1093 books | 5/10 | |
| +1754 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +3604 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +7004 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +14001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −120Best | −110 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −122 | −108Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −132 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −132 | −109 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −132 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:05 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over −114 → −132 since first seen