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Michael WilsonQuestionable

Arizona Cardinals · WR · #14

ARI @ SEA · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder48.5
Over 48.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 48.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunDefense vs wide receivers

    SEA allow 100.4 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: the fewest of 32

    8 games

  • Quarterback

    Jacoby Brissett led ARI in passing in 7 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Gardner Minshew II 1 (led the last game). Over 48.5 with Brissett at quarterback: 12 of 19; with another ARI quarterback: 7 of 27

  • Targets

    Last 3: 10 targets · 2026: 10.1 (8 games)

    Target share: 23% last 3 games · 25% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DAL

Game log against Over 48.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 48.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (6 of 7 on the road).

  1. at CIN, 2025-12-28: 89, cleared, 10 targets
  2. at LAR, 2026-01-04: 99, cleared, 8 targets
  3. at LAC, 2026-09-13: 56, cleared, 7 targets
  4. vs SEA, 2026-09-20: 18, missed, 7 targets
  5. at SF, 2026-09-27: 89, cleared, 17 targets
  6. at NYG, 2026-10-04: 95, cleared, 13 targets
  7. vs DET, 2026-10-11: 30, missed, 7 targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-18: 32, missed, 7 targets
  9. vs DEN, 2026-10-25: 55, cleared, 8 targets
  10. at DAL, 2026-11-01: 111, cleared, 15 targets
ClearedMissedThe 48.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 11.1–98.6 receiving yards.

Splits

Over 48.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs SEA

Receiving Yards: 18 in 7 targets, Sep 20 (home)

Over 48.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against SEA on record

L10 · Over 48.5

Average
67.4
+18.9 vs line
Median
72.5
+24 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
55%
estimate · fair −121

Research, not a pick. At −114 the price beats our fair −121, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3401 book—9/10
−1881 book—7/10
pick'em onlypick'em only7/10
−1141 book−1141 book7/10
−1101 book—7/10
+1421 book—5/10
+2201 book—5/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 48.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 48.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 48.5Under 48.5
FanDuel8 min ago−114Best−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

48.5

Over No move since first seen

Michael Wilson's full game log and splits