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Michael Mayer

Las Vegas Raiders · TE · #87

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder20.5
Over 20.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 20.5

90%9 of 10L10

Over 20.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).

  1. vs KC, 2026-01-04: 47, cleared, 5 targets
  2. vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 32, cleared, 7 targets
  3. at LAC, 2026-09-20: 23, cleared, 4 targets
  4. at NO, 2026-09-27: 32, cleared, 3 targets
  5. vs KC, 2026-10-04: 82, cleared, 10 targets
  6. at NE, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 1 targets
  7. vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 95, cleared, 9 targets
  8. vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 32, cleared, 3 targets
  9. at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 53, cleared, 6 targets
  10. at SF, 2026-11-08: 37, cleared, 3 targets
ClearedMissedThe 20.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunDefense vs tight ends

    SEA allow 42.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 30th most of 32

    9 games

  • Quarterback

    Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 9 of 9 games this season

    Over 20.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 8 of 9; with another LV quarterback: 11 of 28

  • Targets

    Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 5.1 (9 games)

    Target share: 12% last 3 games · 14% over 9 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at SF

Splits

Over 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 20.5

Average
43.5
+23 vs line
Median
34.5
+14 vs line
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
5.1
10 games · 4.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 20.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3354 books—9/10
−2051 book—9/10
−1204 books−1122 books9/10
−1142 books−1142 books9/10
−1151 book−1151 book9/10
+1221 book—8/10
+1804 books—8/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 20.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 20.5Under 20.5
FanDuel4 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle5 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

No move since first seen

Michael Mayer's full game log and splits