Matthew Stafford
LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
ARI allow 19.2 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 8th most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 2.3 carries · 2026: 2.5 (6 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at WSH
Game lines
LAR −9.5 · total 39.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LAR's games this season closed at 47.9 on average (9 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs ARI
Stafford didn't play the Oct 18 meeting; rushing yards the last time Stafford faced them: 3 (Jan 4)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against ARI on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 3.7
- +3.2 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 46%
- at +116
- Books’ fair
- 43%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 2.1
- 10 games · 2.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 43%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1161 book | −1521 book | 5/10 | |
| +2251 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +4501 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +8001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | +116Best | −152Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: No move since first seen