Matthew Stafford

Los Angeles Rams · QB · #9

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under33.5

Under 33.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1255 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 33.5 Passing Attempts hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

at CHI, 2026-01-18: 42, missed, 42 attempts
at SEA, 2026-01-25: 35, missed, 35 attempts
vs SF, 2026-09-10: 25, hit, 25 attempts
vs NYG, 2026-09-21: 31, hit, 31 attempts
at DEN, 2026-09-27: 55, missed, 55 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-04: 51, missed, 51 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-10-12: 54, missed, 54 attempts
vs ARI, 2026-10-18: 33, hit, 33 attempts
at LV, 2026-10-25: 29, hit, 29 attempts
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 25, hit, 25 attempts

Under hitMissedThe 33.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 18.5–52.1 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
WSH allow 36.0 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 4th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 29 attempts · 2026: 37.9 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs LAC
Game lines
LAR −5.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)
LAR's games this season closed at 48 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 33.5 hit in 1 of 1 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs WSH

Passing Attempts: 33 in 33 attempts, Dec 17, 2023 (home)

Under 33.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 33.5

Average: 38; +4.5 vs line
Median: 34; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 52%; estimate · fair −109

Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −109, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3353 books	—	3/10
−1803 books	—	4/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
−1055 books	−1254 books	5/10
+1553 books	—	6/10
+2453 books	—	6/10
+3903 books	—	6/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 33.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 33.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 33.5	Under 33.5
betPARXjust now	−105	−124Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−106	−125
Bovada1 min ago	−105	−125
Pinnacle1 min ago	−102Best	−130
Bally Bet1 min ago	−105	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

33.5

−110 → −125 since first seen