Matt Hibner
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 0.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 1 of 3; with another BAL quarterback: 0 of 1
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Carries + targets
Last 3: 1.7 carries + targets · 2026: 1.5 (4 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 6% over 4 games this season
Game lines
BAL +9.5 · total 40.5 (6 sportsbooks)
BAL's games this season closed at 47 on average (8 games) · Hibner has 4 games this season
Game log against Over 0.5
25%1 of 4L4
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 4 games (0 of 1 at home).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L4 · counts, not in orderNo game against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L4 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 25%
- 1 of 4
- Price implies
- 8%
- at +1200
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 1.5
- 4 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L4| Line | Over | Under | L4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +12005 books | pick'em only | 1/4 | |
| +140004 books | — | 0/4 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | +1800Best | — |
| Bovada2 min ago | +1700 | — |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +1200 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +1200 | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +1200 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over No move since first seen