Mason Taylor
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs tight ends
KC allow 6.9 receptions a game to tight ends: 3rd most of 32
7 games
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 2.5 with Smith at quarterback: 4 of 5; with another NYJ quarterback: 8 of 13
Back from an absence
Tonight is his 5th game back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 20 – Oct 4)
Over 2.5 since: 4 of 4
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 4.6 (5 games)
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 16% over 5 games this season
Game log against Over 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 4.6
- 10 games · 5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.


