Marvin Mims Jr.

Denver Broncos · WR · #19

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1345 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 9.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs JAX, 2025-12-21: 26, cleared, 3 targets
at KC, 2025-12-25: 10, cleared, 4 targets
vs LAC, 2026-01-04: 10, cleared, 3 targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 93, cleared, 8 targets
vs NE, 2026-01-25: 62, cleared, 6 targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 10, cleared, 3 targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 6, missed, 2 targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 13, cleared, 4 targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 53, cleared, 2 targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 10, cleared, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 9.5 with Nix at quarterback: 26 of 37; with another DEN quarterback: 6 of 9
Defense vs wide receivers
CAR allow 144.4 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 2.8 (5 games)
Target share: 10% last 3 games · 9% over 5 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC

Splits

Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 9.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Receiving Yards: 8 in 2 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 9.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 9.5

Average: 29.3; +19.8 vs line
Median: 11.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Targets: 3.8; 10 games · 4.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2101 book	—	10/10
−1345 books	−1202 books	9/10
−1104 books	−1183 books	5/10
+1062 books	−1411 book	4/10
+1754 books	—	4/10
+2901 book	—	4/10
+3404 books	—	3/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Bovada7 min ago	−110Best	−120
FanDuel1 min ago	−114	−114Best
Bally Bet7 min ago	−134	—
betPARX1 min ago	−134	—
BetRivers1 min ago	−134	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

18.5 → 9.5 since first seen