Marvin Harrison Jr.

Houston Texans · WR · #18

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Receptions, typical price −1306 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Receptions hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 7 on the road).

at SEA, 2025-11-09: 3, missed, 12 targets
at TB, 2025-11-30: 6, missed, 7 targets
vs ATL, 2025-12-21: 1, hit, 3 targets
at CIN, 2025-12-28: 0, hit, 1 targets
at LAC, 2026-09-13: 1, hit, 3 targets
vs SEA, 2026-09-20: 0, hit, 1 targets
at SF, 2026-09-27: 3, missed, 5 targets
at NYG, 2026-10-04: 1, hit, 4 targets
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 3, missed, 4 targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 4 targets

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–4 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunNew team
2 games with HOU; before that, ARI
Under 2.5 with HOU: 1 of 2; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
LAC allow 10.7 receptions a game to wide receivers: 18th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 3.5 (6 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 10% over 6 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Jr. didn't play the Dec 27, 2025 meeting; receptions the last time Jr. faced them: 1 (Sep 13)

Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 1.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −129, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3354 books	—	6/10
−1126 books	−1304 books	6/10
+2104 books	—	9/10
+4304 books	—	9/10
+9004 books	—	9/10
+17001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bovada8 min ago	−115	−115Best
FanDuel8 min ago	−112	−118
betPARX8 min ago	−112	−130
Pinnacle8 min ago	−100Best	−132
Bally Bet8 min ago	−112	—
BetRivers8 min ago	−112	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −118 → −130 since first seen