Marvin Harrison Jr.
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
Game log against Over 26.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 26.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0.6–57 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 26.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunNew team
2 games with HOU; before that, ARI
Over 26.5 with HOU: 1 of 2; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
LAC allow 132.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 21st most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 3.5 (6 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 10% over 6 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Splits
Over 26.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs LAC
Jr. didn't play the Dec 27, 2025 meeting; receiving yards the last time Jr. faced them: 33 (Sep 13)
Over 26.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 26.5
- Average
- 24.1
- −2.4 vs line
- Median
- 23.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −103
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −103, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3001 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1824 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1361 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1155 books | −1254 books | 5/10 | |
| +1024 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1981 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +3201 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 26.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 26.5 | Under 26.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −115 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −115 | −125 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −115 | −125 |
| Pinnacle8 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:21 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
26.5−114 → −115 since first seen