Mark Andrews
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 0.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 15 of 40; with another BAL quarterback: 0 of 8
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Carries + targets
Last 3: 3.7 carries + targets · 2026: 5.1 (8 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 18% over 8 games this season
Game lines
BAL +10 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
BAL's games this season closed at 47 on average (8 games)
Game log against Over 0.5
10%1 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 10%
- 1 of 10
- Price implies
- 18%
- at +460
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 4.8
- 10 games · 4.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +4605 books | pick'em only | 1/10 | |
| +55005 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +250001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada2 min ago | +500Best | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +500Best | — |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +460 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +460 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +460 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +450 → +460 since first seen