Mark Andrews
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PMWhat's different on Thursday
Over 4 · facts from past games, not a pickThuRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 4 with Jackson at quarterback: 20 of 40 (3 pushes); with another BAL quarterback: 2 of 8 (3 pushes)
Defense vs tight ends
JAX allow 6.7 targets a game to tight ends: 24th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 5.1 (8 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 18% over 8 games this season
Game log against Over 4
50%5 of 10L10
Over 4 Targets cleared in 5 of his last 10 games, with 3 pushes (2 of 3 at home).
Splits
Over 4 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 4
- Average
- 4.8
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10, 3 pushes
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 4.8
- 10 games · 4.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 4
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4 | Under 4 |
|---|---|---|
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.


