Mark Andrews
JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PMGame log against Over 18.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 at home).
What's different today
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Lamar Jackson at quarterback; Jackson is out today. Without him (BAL): Over 18.5 in 6 of 8.
TodayQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Injured Reserve (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Injured Reserve, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 18.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 28 of 39; with another BAL quarterback: 6 of 8
TodayDefense vs tight ends
JAX allow 32.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends: the fewest of 32
7 games
TodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Targets
Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 5.1 (8 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 18% over 8 games this season
Splits
Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 26
- +7.5 vs line
- Median
- 25.5
- +7 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.8
- 10 games · 4.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8501 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −3054 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1801 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1135 books | −1154 books | 7/10 | |
| −1045 books | −1201 book | 7/10 | |
| +1521 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +2104 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −113Best | — |
| betPARXjust now | −113Best | −115 |
| FanDueljust now | −113Best | −113 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −114 | −117 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −126 | +104Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.519.5 → 18.5 since first seen


