Malik Washington
MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PMGame log against Over 32.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 32.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 13.6–70 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 32.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Malik Willis: Injured Reserve (abdomen). He led MIA in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 32.5 with Willis at quarterback: 6 of 8; with another MIA quarterback: 6 of 28
SunTargets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 6 (8 games) · down 33%
Target share: 15% last 3 games · 23% over 8 games this season
Defense vs wide receivers
IND allow 146.0 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 18th most of 32
9 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DET
Splits
Over 32.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against IND in his last 10; Over 32.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs IND
Receiving Yards: 20 in 5 targets, Sep 7, 2025 (away)
Over 32.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against IND on record
L10 · Over 32.5
- Average
- 36
- +3.5 vs line
- Median
- 41.5
- +9 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −145
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2051 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1381 book | — | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| +1341 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +2251 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3501 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 32.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 32.5 | Under 32.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel9 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle9 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
32.5No move since first seen


